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Market Pulse
9:42 AM CT▲Bears spread moves -3 → -3.5 at FanDuel9:31 AM CT▲Caleb passing total moves 252.5 → 255.59:14 AM CT▲Kalshi Bears win probability +3 pts8:57 AM CT◆Best Bears ML price changes to -168 at Novig8:40 AM CT▼Game total moves 45 → 44.5 at DraftKings8:12 AM CT▲Rome receiving line moves 57.5 → 59.59:42 AM CT▲Bears spread moves -3 → -3.5 at FanDuel9:31 AM CT▲Caleb passing total moves 252.5 → 255.59:14 AM CT▲Kalshi Bears win probability +3 pts8:57 AM CT◆Best Bears ML price changes to -168 at Novig8:40 AM CT▼Game total moves 45 → 44.5 at DraftKings8:12 AM CT▲Rome receiving line moves 57.5 → 59.5
Where the market stands

Tracked Sources

Prices normalized to American odds. Prediction-market cents are converted to implied probability. Every cell carries a source and timestamp.

DEMO· 9:42 AM CT
MarketDraftKingsFanDuelNovigKalshiPolymarket
Bears Spread
Open -2.5 · -110
-3.5
-108
52% impl.
-3.5
-110
52% impl.
-3
-104
51% impl.
——
Bears Moneyline
Open — · -150
-175
64% impl.
-180
64% impl.
-168
63% impl.
-172
63% impl.
-144
59% impl.
Game Total
Open +46 · -110
+44.5
-105
51% impl.
+44.5
-110
52% impl.
+44
-102
50% impl.
——
250+ Passing Yards
Open +247.5 · -108
+257.5
-112
53% impl.
+259.5
-115
53% impl.
+258.5
-108
52% impl.
——
60+ Receiving Yards
Open +57.5 · -110
+59.5
-118
54% impl.
+60.5
-112
53% impl.
———

Odds last updated 9:42 AM CT · DEMO dataset · adapters ready for DraftKings, FanDuel, Novig, Kalshi and Polymarket

Windy City Movers

Biggest Bears market changes

Caleb Pass Yds
247.5 → 259.5 · since open
▲ 12 yds
tap for timestamped history
Bears Spread
-2.5 → -3.5 · since open
▼ 1 pts
tap for timestamped history
Game Total
47.5 → 44.5 · last 24H
▼ 3 pts
tap for timestamped history
Rome Rec Yds
57.5 → 59.5 · last 6H
▲ 2 yds
tap for timestamped history
Bears Team Total
22.5 → 23.5 · last 24H
▲ 1 pts
tap for timestamped history
Swift Rush Yds
63.5 → 62.5 · last 1H
▼ 1 yds
tap for timestamped history
Sharp Claws

Market disagreement scanner

Sportsbook prices are converted to implied probability and de-vigged before comparison. A gap is a disagreement between sources — it does not by itself create an arbitrage or a profitable opportunity.

Bears Win

Kalshi
63%
Polymarket
59%
Sportsbook consensus
55%
Market gap8 pts

Under 44.5

Kalshi
58%
Polymarket
56%
Sportsbook consensus
52%
Market gap6 pts

Bears Cover -3.5

Kalshi
54%
Polymarket
49%
Sportsbook consensus
50%
Market gap5 pts
For the Sickos

Season-long and unusual Bears markets

Only markets that exist in connected prediction-market data appear here.

Kalshi

Bears 10+ regular season wins

34%
Implied probability · DEMO
Polymarket

Bears make the playoffs

48%
Implied probability · DEMO
Kalshi

Bears win NFC North

27%
Implied probability · DEMO
Polymarket

Caleb Williams top-5 MVP finish

19%
Implied probability · DEMO